The core issue is your takeaway move, hands moving 'away' from you right off the bat.
You recover well, and have a really solid move, but you will be 'much' more consistent if you get the first part of your takeaway down.
If you have a copy of Hogan's 5 lessons, look at page 80, top left of the page. That is the area you are off. Your hands move 'away', where Hogan has kept the hands 'inside' the clubhead (no 'lift and turn')
Split grip drills are good for this feel, especially done with the shaft resting on a picnic bench or similar. Just remember to 'trace the plane line', so that you don't get too inside. Imagine a beam of light coming out of the shaft, or another excellent image, that the shaft is a pencil and you 'draw a line', while keeping those hands inside the clubhead per the picture in Hogan's book.
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Simplicity buffs, see 5-0, 1-L, 2-0 A and B 10-2-B, 4-D, 6B-1D, 6-B-3-0-1, 6-C-1, 6-E-2
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